Real Estate Market as of Today
If you are in the market to buy a house, and you are having trouble understanding where the real estate market is going, don’t feel too bad. I queried ChatGPT, an Artificial Intelligence program, and asked where the real estate market is going and here is the response I received.
The AI responded with: “I’m unable to predict specific future events or market trends, including when the real estate market will improve. The real estate market is influenced by a wide range of factors, including economic conditions, interest rates, housing supply and demand, and local market dynamics.” It went on to say, “To get a better understanding of the real estate market in a specific area, it’s advisable to consult with local real estate professionals …”
That’s where I come in. As a REALTOR®, I monitor these numbers on an ongoing basis as do most REALTORS®. It is important to understand that when ChatGPT stated that “The market is influenced by a wide range of factors…” it hit the problem right on. The mortgage interest rates are just one factor that influences the housing market.
The average mortgage interest rate for the last 48 years is 7.73% for a 30 fixed rate. The highest rate occurred in 1981 with an interest rate of 16.63%, and the lowest rate occurred in 2021 with a rate of 2.96. The current mortgage interest rate as of October 28, 2023, was 8.04%.
One of the biggest factors that is resulting in higher rates is inflation. Where higher mortgage rates affects home buyers, higher inflation affects everyone. During the Pandemic the inflation rate hit over 14%. The current inflation rate as of October 2023 is 3.7%. A healthy inflation rate is 2.0%. There has been dramatic decrease in inflation and more effort is being made to reduce it further. The Feds will be meeting this week, but I doubt that they will raise the rates this time.
The war raging in the Middle East will add to the mixture of what will happen to the economy and mortgage rates.
If you are thinking of buying or selling, talk to a real estate professional – talk to a REALTOR® who can give you the information you need to make an informed decision.
As always, if I can help with any of your real estate needs, please feel free to text or call me at 301-712-8808 or email me at RolandLow1@gmail.com.
Roland